For the past week, it’s been encouraging to hear that the number of new Covid-19 cases have been reduced to less than 100 per day in Malaysia.

The Ministry of Health (MoH) is hoping for that number will be reduced to a single digit per day before considering to lift the movement control order (MCO). The graph (pictured below) provided by MoH shows positive results.

Source: MoH

A new study conducted by Singapore University of Technology and Design (SUTD) predicts that the Covid-19 situation in Malaysia might start recovering as early as 6th May 2020. This is based on SUTD’s susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) predictive modelling, adaptive and countering behaviours (individuals avoiding physical contact and governments locking down cities), plus the ecosystem’s natural limitations.

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SUTD’s predictive modelling covers 28 different countries, including Malaysia. The SIR model is then based on a graphing calculator to predict that Malaysia will realise 97% of total expected epidemic cases by 6th May 2020. Take a look at the graph:

Covid-19
Source: SUTD

The SUTD, which previously predicted other pandemics like Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) and the HIV AIDS outbreak, suggests that most parts of the world will see 97% of cases ending approximately 29th May.

Meanwhile, the study predicts Covid-19 will fully be rid of only in December 2020. Check out the study here.

Featured image: Asia Times/ Source: Astro Awani.

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Justin
Usually awkward & quiet, but gets talkative once the conversation revolves around movies, TV shows, music, and entertainment. (Contact: [email protected])